Tuesday, November 13, 2012

The Transnational Mexican Drug Trade


The Transnational Mexican Drug Trade

            For decades, the Medellin and Cali drug cartels dominated the international illicit drug trade. Starting in the 1980’s, the Guadalajara cartel, led by Mexico based Miguel Ángel Félix Gallardo, took control of the Mexican drug trade. Felix Gallardo became the point man for the Colombian drug trade through Mexico and essentially controlled all trade routes in Mexico underneath the umbrella of the Medellin cartel. In the late 80’s, Gallardo began to feel that running all of Mexico’s drug trade through him created the danger of the entire system falling apart if he and his lieutenants were to be killed or captured. This led him to break up his Guadalajara cartel into multiple smaller cartels, which would later evolve into the current state of power struggle. With the demise of the Colombian cartels in the 90’s, a power vacuum opened up which the Mexican drug trade happily filled. Currently, over 90% of all illicit drugs being brought into the United States come from Mexican drug cartels (Cook). This includes a large supply of cocaine, marijuana, methamphetamines, and heroin.

            The United Nations has recently defined transnational crime as a structured group with three or more people committing serious crimes to obtain financial benefit where the crime committed affects multiple countries. In this definition, the Mexican drug cartels easily fit into the category. Just among the few largest cartels, mainly Los Zetas, the Gulf Cartel, and the Sinaloa Cartel, there is an estimated profit of between $13.6 and $48.4 billion annually, not to mention billions of dollars that are laundered in Mexico (Ibid). It is clearly a for profit institution involving thousands of people, based in Mexico for the predominant purpose of drug sales in the United States, thus involving multiple nations.

            In Shelley’s article, he mentions that one of the most important characteristics that must be prevalent in a country in order for transnational crime to be sustained is corruption of the government. He states that in a corrupt system, the government protects and legitimizes criminals in return for bribes and power. Mexico is currently one of the most corrupt nations in the world, with thousands of its police officers either actively working for the cartels, or at the very least turning a blind eye. Multiple times, the Mexican government has simply disbanded entire police forces because of the overwhelming amount of corruption. For example, in 2006, the Mexican Federal Investigative Agency (AFI), one of the police forces used to combat narcotics trafficking, was inspecting over 1500 of its members for corruption, of which over 450 of them had actually been charged (Freeman). It is suspected that these agents were working as enforcers for the Sinaloa cartel. Even more indicative is the Los Zetas cartel, which originally worked as an enforcer gang for the Gulf cartel before splitting off to form its own faction, whose original thirty-one members all came from the elite Mexican forces.

            However, there has not been concrete evidence of widespread corruption in the United States, which Shelley says is a necessity for the perpetuity of transnational crime. I believe that perhaps widespread corruption in the United States is not necessary for the continuation of the particular crime in question, however, because the cartels are not actually the ones distributing the narcotics on the street level. This is mostly carried out through partnerships with gangs and organized crime in the United States, notably Mara Salvatrucha (MS-13) and the Latin Kings (US Department of Justice).

            Another important factor Shelley mentions is the lack of a strong civil society, which is evident within Mexico. In fact, many academics feel that Mexico is in strong danger of becoming a failed state (Grayson). This assertion is corroborated by the US military, who issued an analysis of Mexico in 2009 wherein they stated that if the Mexican drug war were to continue for another 25 years, the state would likely collapse (Blair). One can see further evidence of this assertion in the strong correlation between the amount police officers are paid in a region, and the amount of drug-related crime there is within that region. For example, the Tijuana region is notorious for being an epicenter of the drug trade and home to the Tijuana cartel. The municipal police in Tijuana are known to often act as enforcers for the cartel, likely because they have the lowest salaries of any of Mexico’s police forces.

            As mentioned before, the deleterious effects of the transnational drug trade may be strong enough to seriously undermine Mexico as a state and the relatively young democracy that is in place there. As Shelley mentions, it can cause an increase in tax rates as less and less of the economy remains licit and thus taxable, which may in turn lead to an increase in corruption and organized crime. In this way, Shelley’s third condition, which is self-perpetuity, is fulfilled.

            However, this problem, as a transnational problem, is not that of Mexico alone. Many, including Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, have claimed that the enormous desire for drugs within the United States is a major factor in the continuation of the transnational drug trade (Robinson). Indeed, many believe that reducing the actual desire for drugs within the United States as opposed to attempting to militarily destroy the drug cartels could be as much as seven times as cost effective (Miller).

            I personally echo this belief. Antagonizing Mexican Drug Cartels as we have been doing in the past decade and a half, with the aid of the last three American administrations, has only led to a huge increase in violence and massive destabilization of the country as a whole, as well as an influx of illicit narcotics being brought into the United States. I believe that if we truly wish to combat the violence and chaos brought about by the drug trade, we must address the issues which created the problem we have today: first the US demand for drugs, second a lack of civil society in Mexico, and finally the immense amount of corruption in the Mexican security forces.
Cook, Colleen W., ed. (October 16, 2007). "Mexico's Drug Cartels" (PDF). CRS Report for Congress. Congressional Research Service. p. 7. Retrieved 13 Nov. 2012.
Ibid; U.S. Department of Justice National Drug Intelligence Center, National Drug Threat Assessment 2006, January 2006.
RS interview with Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) officials, November 8, 2006; "Alerta PGR sobre Aumento de Violencia y Narco," Criterios, August 3, 2006; and, Laurie Freeman, State of Siege: Drug-Related Violence and Corruption in Mexico, Washington Office on Latin America, June 2006.
CRS interview with FBI officials, January 10, 2007and U.S. Department of Justice National Drug Intelligence Center, National Drug Threat Assessment 2006, January 2006.
Grayson, George W. (2010). Mexico: Narco-Violence and a Failed State?. Transaction Publishers. pp. 4.
Blair, David (2009-01-16). "Mexico in danger of collapse". London: Telegraph.co.uk. Retrieved 13 Nov 2012.
Robinson, Eugene. "Drugs and Guns -- a Deadly Trade Between Mexico and the U.S." Washington Post. The Washington Post, 27 Mar. 2009. Web. 13 Nov. 2012. <http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/03/26/AR2009032603115.html>.

Miller, Stephanie (April 7, 2009). "A Regional Strategy for Drug Wars in the Americas". Center for American Progress. Retrieved 13 Nov. 2012.

8 comments:

  1. Thanks for the post Victor I think this is a really fascinating subject! At the end of the post you say that in order to combat the violence that the drug trade brings it will be necessary to address the US demand for drugs, Mexico's lack of civil society, and Mexico's corruption. These seem like extremely difficult problems to address; what do you think can be done to better deal with these immense issues?

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    1. Well, I believe that all three of those issues are related. That is to say, I think that Mexico's corruption springs from it's lack of civil society, which in turn is caused by the US demand for drugs. Therefore, If we were to deal with the US demand, we would in turn ameliorate the other issues. In my personal opinion, we need to legalize marijuana as the first step. This is a large portion of the profits that Mexican cartels make. If we were to legalize the trade and create legitimate governmental organizations who could monitor the business, or even make it a private sector which could also be monitored, the cartels would lose an enormous amount of profit and influence. As for as their trade in heroin, cocaine, and methamphetamine goes, I believe that we need to begin treating drug addiction as a medical issue, and not a criminal one. I believe we need to invest in drug addiction education and rehabilitation, not in supplementing police forces and drug combating forces like the DEA. In other words, I believe that we need to change the entire identity of drugs and drug users as perceived by American society as a whole. Then, and only then, can we solve this problem.

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    2. Victor-

      This is a very interesting blog post especially given the context of legalization in the past election. I share the same belief that legalization is hugely important toward cutting off monetary resources for the cartel.

      I am curious as to what you think in regards to the effects of legalization in Colorado as far as legalization on a Macro scale. Do you think that legalization will change the public perception of marijuana, or do you think that the public perception is what leads to legalization? In other words, which comes first, the social acceptance of usage, or the legalization of the drug?

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    3. I don't truly think that people will change their perception simply based on the legalization of the drug. I do think that is the first step, but not the only one. For example, I think that those who are currently part of older generations and who have a strong negative view of the drug will need to be truly educated before they will possibly change their views. However, I think that younger generations and those that have not been born yet will find it socially acceptable due to its legality.

      Or, more simply, I say that the answer is both, depending on the particular person in question. But at the very least it will certainly be beneficial for public perception.

      However, if I were to be forced to choose one, I would say that legalization would have to come first, at the very least in the United States based upon its cultural identity.

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  2. Thanks Victor! I was wondering if you could shed some light on which theory you think is most appropriate to employ when addressing this problem. Realism, liberalism, or constructivism. My personal view would be liberalism. For something as large as transnational crime, one must be able to peacefully cooperate with other states in the form of institutions in order to bring an end to a problem. Which would you think though?

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    1. I dont think that we can really copy and paste any one particular theory onto this problem. It is rather a melange of all of them, although I think that a mix of liberalism and constructivism does the best job of explaining what is occurring. As I mentioned in my response to Jeremy, I believe that is the cultural identity of drug use and addiction which creates such a high demand for drugs, which is very clearly a constructivist point of view. However, I also believe that perhaps drug monitoring institutions should be created, as I mentioned in my view on the legalization of Marijuana. If we were to give a legitimate alternative to illegal activity and therefore be able see who produces and who consumes, it would give governmental players a much greater ability to fight illegal drug trade. So in that way, liberalism and constructivism are the most applicable. The reason that I am not as much a fan of realism is because that is in large part the tactic the Mexican and United States governments have been using for the past couple of decades to little avail. In fact, the escalation of the Mexican military approach to the problem has only led to the current drug war which has left tens of thousands dead as the cartels lash out against civilians in return. So, if I were to have to rate the most useful theories from most useful to least useful, I would say constructivism, then liberalism, and then constructivism. I hope that answers your question!

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  3. Thanks for your interesting post Victor! I agree with you in that the solution is to decrease the demand of drugs in the US. The US has been waging a war on drugs for years now, and has spent billions to prevent drug use among its people. Obviously the drug war is not working, and I think this is because while the government works so hard to combat drug cartels in Mexico and punish US drug users, the government is not focusing on reducing the demand for drugs within the US through preventative action. However, many Mexicans rely on income from the drug trade in order to support themselves. What do you think will happen to Mexico if the US is successful in decreasing the demand for drugs? What will these Mexicans turn to for income and should the US help Mexico?

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    1. I think that here we can employ the adage "things always get worse before they can become better." At first, the reduction of the drug trade might hurt those who are currently within the drug production business. However, I believe that it will lead to a happier and more secure Mexico. The current drug war has left tens of thousands dead and has created widespread fear, chaos, and a mistrust for authority due to high levels of corruption. Here we have to weigh two evils against one another. Would we rather have a Mexico as it is now, in that state of chaos and violence, or a Mexico with some more of its people unemployed. I say that we should choose the latter simply because that is a system which will allow for the government to take an active role in legitimate job creation and creating economic growth. I believe that the United States should definitely help Mexico. As is the definition of transnational crime, this problem affects both nations. If we aid Mexico, we will also be helping ourselves. Anyways, in an economically interconnected world, if a nation who is a close trading parter such as Mexico (think NAFTA) prospers economically, that will likely increase its consumption of American goods. So I think that in the long run, Mexico will be better off if the US is successful in decreasing the demand for drugs.

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